TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168375.weather@1:2320/105 2dc817c9   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 090047   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 090045   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0645 PM CST Thu Jan 08 2026   
      
   Valid 090100Z - 091200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER   
   MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   An isolated risk for damaging gusts and possibly a tornado will   
   continue tonight from the Ozark Plateau eastward into the low/mid   
   Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys.   
      
   ...01z Update...   
      
   Midlevel jet is forecast to strengthen in excess of 100kt as it   
   translates across central IL late this evening. As this speed max   
   shifts into lower MI the associated short-wave trough will advance   
   into the upper Great Lakes region by 09/12z. Latest satellite   
   imagery suggests the leading edge of large-scale ascent is shifting   
   east of the MS River and this appears to be aiding a narrow band of   
   weak convection immediately downstream from southeast MO to   
   northeast IL. This activity has struggled to deepen/organize, though   
   some increase appears plausible given the approaching trough. Strong   
   height falls favor some upscale growth, but 00z sounding from ILX   
   exhibited only modest lapse rates with meager MUCAPE. Despite the   
   weak thermodynamic profiles, wind fields are very strong and favor   
   organized rotating updrafts. Will continue MRGL risk for the   
   aforementioned corridor as large-scale support is very favorable.   
      
   Late tonight, scattered convection is expected to increase across   
   the lower MS Valley. With large-scale forcing remaining well north   
   of this region, the prospect for organized severe will be somewhat   
   negated. Even so, some risk for strong gusts and perhaps a tornado   
   will be noted with the most robust storms.   
      
   ..Darrow.. 01/09/2026   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1 6 360   
   SEEN-BY: 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 275 300 307 317 400   
   SEEN-BY: 229/426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003 291/111   
   SEEN-BY: 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364 341/66   
   SEEN-BY: 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 2320/0   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426