TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168367.weather@1:2320/105 2dc7cd1a   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 081928   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 081927   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0127 PM CST Thu Jan 08 2026   
      
   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE   
   SOUTHEAST INTO PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday from the   
   Southeast into parts of the Carolinas and southern Virginia.   
      
   ...Southeast into the Carolinas and Virginia...   
   Within a swath of broad/strong midlevel southwesterly flow across   
   the eastern half of the CONUS, a robust midlevel jet will advance   
   northeastward from the lower OH Valley into the   
   Mid-Atlantic/Northeast -- while phasing with an upstream trough and   
   related midlevel jet. An accompanying frontal wave/weak surface   
   cyclone -- initially over the TN Valley -- will track northeastward   
   along a remnant frontal zone toward the Northeast in tandem with the   
   midlevel jet.   
      
   At the start of the period, broken bands of thunderstorms will   
   likely be ongoing across the central Gulf Coast into the Southeast,   
   along/east of the frontal zone/surface wave. While buoyancy will be   
   somewhat limited (especially with northward extent toward northern   
   AL), ample boundary-layer moisture and a focused low-level jet will   
   continue to promote a few strong to severe storms, with a risk of   
   damaging gusts and a tornado. While uncertain, there appears to be a   
   corridor of relatively higher severe potential from parts of   
   south-central AL into GA, and this area continues to be monitored   
   for a potential upgrade.   
      
   Thunderstorms will spread east-northeastward through the day, as the   
   midlevel jet and surface wave track northeastward. Buoyancy will   
   become limited with northward extent, though the   
   northeastward-moving low-level jet and strong deep-layer shear will   
   continue to yield a risk of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado   
   with any stronger storms that spread into the Carolinas and southern   
   VA.   
      
   ..Weinman.. 01/08/2026   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1 6 360   
   SEEN-BY: 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 275 300 307 317 400   
   SEEN-BY: 229/426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003 291/111   
   SEEN-BY: 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364 341/66   
   SEEN-BY: 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 2320/0   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426