TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168355.weather@1:2320/105 2dc75f96   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 081141   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 081141=20   
   OKZ000-TXZ000-081345-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0006   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0541 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Northwest Texas to north-central Oklahoma   
      
   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20   
      
   Valid 081141Z - 081345Z   
      
   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent   
      
   SUMMARY...A few strong to marginally severe storms are possible this   
   morning.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms coverage has increased across West Texas   
   and into Oklahoma this morning as isentropic ascent has strengthened   
   with 1km flow now approaching 50 knots on the TLX VWP. Within this   
   zone, MUCAPE around 1000 J/kg and effective shear of 55-60 knots   
   will support some storm organization and stronger cells capable of   
   isolated large hail. In addition, 61 to 63F dewpoints have spread   
   northward across much of Oklahoma which has eroded inhibition across   
   the state with around 500-750 J/kg MLCAPE. Overall, a messy storm   
   mode and weak low-level lapse rates should limit the overall threat.   
   Nonetheless, given the veered low-level wind profile, a brief   
   tornado and/or gusty winds cannot be ruled out if a more established   
   storm/mesocyclone can develop.   
      
   ..Bentley/Mosier.. 01/08/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!4MCXauEPAApTwwRjrMw3OOHyLtyOxt0XiUyivAiKUpralSqDsPoXrdd_aGiwSq74VLGBNalLx=   
   qXT9cYmtkcMNiwRHqk$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...   
      
   LAT...LON   34999604 33609779 33159892 33189943 34199955 34649945   
               35589863 36249770 36869707 36849630 35989581 34999604=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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