TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168350.weather@1:2320/105 2dc73e0f   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS48 KWNS 080918   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 080916   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0316 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026   
      
   Valid 111200Z - 161200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   Organized severe potential currently appears low through the   
   extended-range period.   
      
   A cold front will move through coastal NC and parts of FL on   
   D4/Sunday, in advance of a deep upper trough moving across the   
   eastern CONUS, but ascent and buoyancy within the remaining warm   
   sector appear too weak to support organized storms. For D5/Monday   
   through D8/Thursday, generally dry and stable conditions in the wake   
   of multiple frontal intrusions will tend to limit thunderstorm   
   potential across most of the CONUS. Some guidance (notably the 00Z   
   ECMWF) indicates that thunderstorm chances may return to parts of   
   the FL Peninsula by mid week, in association with renewed upper   
   trough amplification across the eastern CONUS. However, with   
   guidance generally depicting only weak surface wave development   
   during this time frame, confidence in organized storm development   
   remains low.   
      
   ..Dean.. 01/08/2026   
      
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