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   ACUS03 KWNS 051930   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 051929   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0129 PM CST Mon Jan 05 2026   
      
   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   General thunderstorms are possible along the coastal Pacific   
   Northwest on Wednesday and across parts of the southern Great Plains   
   to the Ozark Plateau Wednesday night.   
      
   ...Southern Plains/Ozarks...   
   An upper low currently off the southern CA coast is forecast to   
   progress eastward into the southern Plains by late Wednesday into   
   early Thursday morning. Gradual low-level moistening will occur   
   through the day across TX and into OK as low-level flow strengthens   
   in response to steady cyclogenesis across the Plains. Additionally,   
   ascent ahead of the approaching upper wave will promote adequate   
   destabilization for MUCAPE values of around 500 J/kg between 06-12   
   UTC across northern TX into OK and the Ozarks. While buoyancy   
   profiles will most likely remain too limited for substantially deep   
   convection, strengthening wind profiles may support transient   
   organized storms overnight across northern TX into parts of OK.   
   Confidence remains too limited at this time to introduce risk   
   probabilities, but highlights may be needed if new guidance trends   
   towards the more aggressive extended-range RRFS solutions.   
      
   ...WA/OR Coast...   
   Strong ascent and cold mid-level temperatures associated with an   
   approaching upper trough will once again support adequate buoyancy   
   for isolated thunderstorms off and along the coast of the Pacific   
   Northwest through the day Wednesday. Lifted indices on the order of   
   -1 to -2 C suggest that buoyancy profiles will likely remain too   
   limited for strong convection and any appreciable severe threat.   
      
   ..Moore.. 01/05/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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