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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS01 KWNS 041944   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 041943   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0143 PM CST Sun Jan 04 2026   
      
   Valid 042000Z - 051200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.   
      
   ...20z Update...   
   No changes were made to the prior outlook. Isolated thunderstorms   
   remain possible over parts of the West Coast into the Great Basin,   
   and over the far southern FL Peninsula through tonight. Weak   
   buoyancy should preclude any severe risk. See the prior discussion   
   for more info.   
      
   ..Lyons.. 01/04/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1014 AM CST Sun Jan 04 2026/   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   A progressive/modestly amplified longwave pattern will prevail over   
   the CONUS through tonight. The primary potential for isolated   
   thunderstorms will be over the West, generally related to a   
   weakening shortwave trough that will spread across central   
   California toward the Great Basin, and a somewhat more prominent   
   shortwave trough that is just off the coastal Pacific Northwest.   
   Sporadic, albeit relatively low/isolated, thunderstorm potential   
   will exist today across the coastal Pacific Northwest toward central   
   California, and across parts of the Great Basin mainly this   
   afternoon. The relatively most unstable conditions for the period   
   are expected to manifest late tonight near the northern California   
   coast as mid-level lapse rates steepen. However, only a few hundred   
   J/kg MUCAPE and limited-strength winds through the lowest 3-4km AGL   
   will likely preclude organized severe storm potential.   
      
   $$   
      
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