TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168239.weather@1:2320/105 2dc1dff6   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 040737   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 040736   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0136 AM CST Sun Jan 04 2026   
      
   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z   
      
   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Thunderstorm potential is negligible on Tuesday and Tuesday night.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Conditions will be too dry/stable for lightning-producing convection   
   across much of the CONUS through the period. A trio of exceptions   
   are apparent where thunderstorm probabilities appear to be nonzero,   
   but below 10 percent. Within a fast zonal flow regime over the   
   Northwest, a lower-amplitude shortwave impulse should progress along   
   the WA/BC border towards the northern Rockies on Tuesday night.   
   Colder mid-level temperatures in the wake of this impulse combined   
   with persistent onshore low-level flow might yield a brief   
   thunderstorm overnight along the WA coast. Farther south, a closed   
   upper low off the southern CA coast should continue to drift south   
   and remain west of Baja CA. Much of the guidance is insistent that   
   instability will remain too minimal to warrant a thunderstorm risk   
   along the far southern CA coast through 12Z Wednesday. Finally,   
   flimsy elevated buoyancy could develop in vicinity of a progressive   
   shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes on Tuesday. A brief   
   thunderstorm or two could occur within an emerging mixed-phase   
   precipitation swath.   
      
   ..Grams.. 01/04/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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