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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS01 KWNS 040513   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 040511   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1111 PM CST Sat Jan 03 2026   
      
   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Widely scattered, generally weak, thunderstorm activity is possible   
   today across parts of central California and the Pacific Northwest   
   into portions of the Great Basin.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Mid-level troughing, digging into and through the northern Mid   
   Atlantic and Northeast early today, is forecast to quickly turn   
   eastward offshore and across the Canadian Maritimes through the   
   remainder of the period, trailed by a more modest perturbation   
   digging across the Florida peninsula and Bahamas vicinity.  A   
   broadly confluent mid-level regime in its wake is forecast to   
   support the eastward progression of cool surface ridging into and   
   across the Atlantic Seaboard, with perhaps some further southward   
   advancement of the weakening leading edge of the cold air possible   
   across the southern Florida peninsula and central through   
   southwestern Gulf Basin.   
      
   While mid/upper ridging is likely to be maintained across much of   
   interior North America, it appears that it will gradually lose   
   amplitude as a number of smaller-scale perturbations, emerging from   
   splitting large-scale troughing near the Pacific coast, progress   
   through it.  Across the eastern Pacific into western North America,   
   models generally indicate that one weakening short wave impulse will   
   accelerate inland across the central California coast and Sierra   
   Nevada during the day, trailed inland by a somewhat stronger, but   
   weakening, perturbation across the Pacific Northwest and Cascades,   
   in advance of a sharply digging perturbation across the mid-latitude   
   eastern Pacific.   
      
   ...Pacific Coast into Intermountain West...   
   Mid-level cooling and forcing for ascent overspreading the region   
   today through tonight probably will contribute to the evolution of   
   thermodynamic profiles occasionally becoming at least marginally   
   conducive to widely scattered convective development capable of   
   producing lightning.   
      
   ...Southern Florida...   
   Mid-level cooling and forcing for ascent, associated with the   
   digging short wave trough, might contribute to sufficient   
   destabilization for an isolated brief thunderstorm or two, mainly   
   across the interior southern peninsula through southeast coastal   
   areas late this afternoon.   
      
   ..Kerr.. 01/04/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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