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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 030550   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 030548   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1148 PM CST Fri Jan 02 2026   
      
   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF   
   THE SOUTHEAST...AND IN PARTS OF CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST OREGON...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated severe storms are possible across parts of the Southeast   
   today. A few marginally severe storms will also be possible from the   
   Sacramento and northern San Joaquin Valleys to coastal areas of   
   northern California and southwest Oregon.   
      
   ...Southeast...   
   A mid-level trough and an associated cold front will move across the   
   southeastern U.S. today. Ahead of these features, a moist airmass   
   will be in place from the central Gulf Coast eastward to southern   
   Georgia and northern Florida. Surface dewpoints along this   
   east-to-west corridor will be in the 60s F. Abundant cloud cover   
   will hamper destabilization, with only weak instability expected in   
   most areas. As large-scale ascent increases ahead of the approaching   
   trough, scattered thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the   
   front in the early to mid afternoon. Although deep-layer shear will   
   be strong enough for an isolated severe threat, relatively weak   
   instability should keep any threat marginal. In areas that   
   destabilize the most, a brief tornado or a few severe wind gusts   
   will be possible.   
      
   ...California/Southwest Oregon...   
   At mid-levels, a trough will approach the West Coast today, as an   
   associated 60 to 80 knot jet streak moves into northern California.   
   At the surface, a 986 mb low offshore will move toward the Pacific   
   Northwest. From the coasts of central California to southwest   
   Oregon, onshore flow will exist with surface dewpoints in the lower   
   to mid 50s F. The low-level moisture will contribute to weak   
   instability within an strongly sheared environment. This could be   
   enough for marginally severe wind gusts and possibly a brief   
   tornado. Further inland across the Sacramento and northern San   
   Joaquin Valleys, a marginal tornado threat may also develop,   
   especially as low-level strengthens during the evening.   
      
   ..Broyles/Marsh.. 01/03/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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