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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 39,990 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0003   
   02 Jan 26 18:35:25   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168193.weather@1:2320/105 2dbfd6f9   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 021835   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 021834=20   
   NEZ000-022230-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0003   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1234 PM CST Fri Jan 02 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Parts of central NE   
      
   Concerning...Freezing rain=20   
      
   Valid 021834Z - 022230Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Freezing rain may continue through the afternoon, and may   
   occasionally mix with sleet. Modest ice accretion is possible.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Precipitation has gradually increased in coverage   
   through the morning across western/central NE, in association with   
   midlevel shortwave trough moving east-southeastward across the   
   region. Initial dryness in the 850-700 mb layer (as observed in the   
   18Z OAX sounding) has likely limited precipitation amounts to some   
   extent, but a modest increase in rates is possible into mid   
   afternoon as saturation occurs and precipitation continues. The   
   surface freezing line is currently oriented north-south across   
   west-central NE, and is expected to make only slow eastward progress   
   through the afternoon, as ongoing precipitation and low-level   
   cold/dry advection help to maintain subfreezing conditions farther   
   east.=20   
      
   The bulk of the afternoon precipitation will fall where surface   
   temperatures will remain below freezing. Some sleet will be possible   
   within the colder environment across north-central/northeast NE, but   
   short-term guidance continues to indicate primarily freezing rain   
   across central NE, where a shallower subfreezing layer will be in   
   place. Precipitation will generally remain rather light, but 3-hour   
   rates may approach or exceed 0.05", with modest ice accretion   
   possible.   
      
   ..Dean.. 01/02/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!8gWN4pJwGtesX2z3O3IduPgQptube2A2LRY5OBeZMmAv6VNx9SWcxL-om18mxHx3mZ3jBk6F9=   
   ZFP3vXiSNMPAEzdELA$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...   
      
   LAT...LON   42599956 42539834 41849752 41329706 40939707 40739767   
               40719860 40919965 41139992 41439999 42160004 42599956=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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