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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS02 KWNS 311726   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 311724   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1124 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025   
      
   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL   
   SOUTHERN CA...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Locally damaging winds and a brief tornado are possible along a   
   portion of coastal southern California on New Year's Day morning.   
      
   ...Southern CA...   
   A compact midlevel shortwave trough is forecast to move across parts   
   of southern CA toward the San Joaquin Valley through the day, before   
   dampening somewhat as it approaches the Great Basin during the   
   evening. The strongest DCVA and cooling aloft will generally be   
   displaced north of the most favorable low-level moisture, but some   
   thunderstorm potential will continue to accompany this system for at   
   least the first part of the day.   
      
   The greatest relative potential for surface-based convection appears   
   to be across immediate coastal areas of southern CA and adjacent   
   offshore regions, where surface dewpoints are forecast to increase   
   into the low 60s F. Deep-layer shear will not be particularly   
   strong, but 30-40 kt of 700 mb flow and modest enlargement of   
   low-level hodographs could support potential for weakly rotating   
   storms. While confidence in sufficiently robust convection is not   
   high, locally damaging wind and/or a brief tornado cannot be ruled   
   out with any stronger cells near the coast, primarily during the   
   morning.   
      
   ..Dean.. 12/31/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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