TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168065.weather@1:2320/105 2db9b0e0   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 290241   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 290240=20   
   NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-290745-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 2285   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0840 PM CST Sun Dec 28 2025   
      
   Areas affected...portions of eastern New York and northern   
   Massachusetts into central and northern Vermont and New Hampshire   
      
   Concerning...Freezing rain=20   
      
   Valid 290240Z - 290745Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Freezing rain is expected across portions of New England   
   through tonight, with at least .06 inch/3 hour accretion rates   
   possible. The best chance for the highest accretion rates,   
   particularly over the next 3-6 hours, would be over northern New   
   England.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Warm-air/moisture advection, within the 925-700 mb   
   layer, is increasing over the northern Appalachians in response to   
   an approaching, deepening surface cyclone and accompanying 100+ kt   
   500 mb jet streak. A broad shield of rainfall is overspreading a   
   surface layer that has been and remains well below freezing in   
   several locales. While warm-air advection aloft is strong, the   
   displacement of the sub-freezing surface temperatures may not take   
   place until after 3 AM EST. Heavier WAA-induced rainfall atop a   
   persistent sub-freezing surface is quite favorable for appreciable   
   ice accumulations over the next 6 hours. An ice storm is possible,   
   with over .06/3 hour accumulation rates potentially becoming   
   commonplace. The best chance for significant ice accumulations would   
   be over parts of northern New England, closer to the international   
   border. Here, At least moderate rain rates should fall into a   
   sub-freezing surface layer the longest, with 32+ F surface   
   temperatures approaching from the south, reaching this region much   
   later tonight.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 12/29/2025   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!-oPS5pS4PyiX9SflSmRtzHkqE6EVQ16HMi_R0oi10W_3eXxzRg9aUatZp_1lmGNcNcK3tzZs3=   
   lt2YNCCSAfe7Bp-quI$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...   
      
   LAT...LON   43187107 42647172 42517236 42437317 42477421 42687531   
               42897580 44127560 44687545 45027472 45107260 44957172   
               44287122 43187107=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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