TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167970.weather@1:2320/105 2db61394   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS48 KWNS 260855   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 260853   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0253 AM CST Fri Dec 26 2025   
      
   Valid 291200Z - 031200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   D4/Monday will feature conditionally favorable strong low to   
   mid-level flow along/ahead of a cold front moving east across the   
   Southeast. The intense eastern Great Lakes/southeast ON cyclone   
   should occlude as a secondary cyclone forms along coastal ME into   
   the Canadian Maritimes. Guidance is fairly consistent for this time   
   frame with indications of minimal instability along the trailing   
   portion of the cold front, as well as diminishing large-scale   
   ascent/convective signal through the day. Severe thunderstorm wind   
   probabilities appear at or below 5 percent.   
      
   The continental airmass spreading across the Gulf in the wake of the   
   frontal passage should yield minimal severe potential mid-week.   
   Towards late week, return flow will support airmass modification   
   along the western Gulf Coast. The EC-AIFS hints at a low-amplitude   
   shortwave impulse in the D8/Friday time frame, which could support a   
   return to non-negligible severe potential.   
      
   ..Grams.. 12/26/2025   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 4/0 19/10 88/0 90/0 93/1 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 128/187 129/14 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50 110 700 218/700   
   SEEN-BY: 218/840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1 6 360 226/18 30 44 50 227/114   
   SEEN-BY: 229/110 134 206 300 307 317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/219 322/757 335/364 341/66 200 342/200   
   SEEN-BY: 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 880/1 900/0 102 106 902/0 19   
   SEEN-BY: 902/26 904/0 13 905/0 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5019/40 5020/400   
   SEEN-BY: 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 341/66 902/26 229/426