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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 39,711 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2269   
   24 Dec 25 15:22:55   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167913.weather@1:2320/105 2db3cb46   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 241522   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 241522=20   
   CAZ000-241715-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 2269   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0922 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025   
      
   Areas affected...Portions of the southern California Coast   
      
   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20   
      
   Valid 241522Z - 241715Z   
      
   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent   
      
   SUMMARY...A brief tornado is possible along the immediate coast as a   
   shallow convective band moves east this morning.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A shallow band of convection, not currently deep enough   
   to support lightning production, continues to move eastward into the   
   LA Basin region ahead of a strong shortwave trough. The strongest   
   parts of this band remain near the coastline where dewpoints appear   
   to be in the low 60s F. Prior to the passage of this activity, KVTX   
   VAD data did show notable low-level shear/SRH. Recent velocity   
   imagery has also depicted weak, transient areas of low-level   
   rotation. A brief tornado will remain possible as this activity   
   continues east. Strong and gusty winds may also accompany the band.   
   The primary threat area will likely remain along the immediate coast   
   given decreasing surface moisture and buoyancy inland.   
      
   ..Wendt/Gleason.. 12/24/2025   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!6O5O0MLL2K7i9R9VwSs_2waXtPlsh6Em07_zsTIlf3vZsvG8qFQSUQ_NDs_GH1_oq7P-fMNYG=   
   2mkB44w042GZEspHJM$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...SGX...LOX...   
      
   LAT...LON   33911889 34031895 34311890 34181855 33971821 33781789   
               33581766 33461763 33411778 33461806 33551816 33911889=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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