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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS02 KWNS 230702   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 230700   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0100 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025   
      
   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF   
   THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND INLAND IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts, hail and   
   potentially a brief tornado will be possible from Wednesday into   
   Wednesday night along parts of the California coast, and inland   
   across the San Jouquin Valley.   
      
   ...California...   
   A ridge aloft will move eastward across the central U.S. on   
   Wednesday, as a mid-level trough moves eastward across the eastern   
   Pacific. Ahead of this large-scale feature, a subtle shortwave   
   trough will approach the California coast Wednesday afternoon. As   
   heights gradually fall, large-scale ascent and mid-level moisture   
   will overspread most of California during the day. Thunderstorm   
   development will be possible along the central and southern   
   California coast, and inland across the San Joaquin Valley. The   
   greatest chance for severe storms will be as the left exit region of   
   a 90 to 100 knot mid-level jet moves across the San Joaquin Valley   
   during the mid to late afternoon. Near this feature, very strong   
   deep-layer shear will exist and MUCAPE is expected to peak in the   
   500 to 750 J/kg range. This should be enough for a few   
   semi-organized storms with a threat for hail and marginally severe   
   gusts. A brief tornado will also be possible. An isolated severe   
   threat is expected to continue into the overnight period, and may   
   shift southward along the coast into southern California, as a   
   second minor impulse approaches and moves inland.   
      
   ..Broyles.. 12/23/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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