TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167770.weather@1:2320/105 2dad4103   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 191621   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 191620   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1020 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025   
      
   Valid 191630Z - 201200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   While strong/gusty winds will continue across the Mid-Atlantic and   
   Northeast today, the threat for organized severe thunderstorms is   
   expected to remain low.   
      
   ...Mid-Atlantic/Northeast...   
   A pronounced mid/upper-level trough with very strong low/mid-level   
   flow will continue moving east-northeastward today across the   
   Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Associated surface cold front will   
   likewise develop eastward across these regions through the   
   afternoon, and will clear the Atlantic Coast by this evening. A   
   loosely organized, low-topped convective line has moved east of NJ,   
   and should impact parts of Long Island over the next couple of   
   hours. Due to poor lapse rates aloft and limited diurnal heating   
   with continued cloud cover, minimal instability is forecast to be in   
   place ahead of this line. The threat for strong/gusty winds should   
   continue both with gradient winds within the strong low-level warm   
   advection regime and along/behind the front. But given the poor   
   thermodynamic environment and tendency for any additional convection   
   to remain elevated, the Marginal Risk across the   
   Mid-Atlantic/Northeast has been removed with this update.   
      
   ..Gleason/Hart.. 12/19/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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