TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167764.weather@1:2320/105 2dad10b2   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 191255   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 191254   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0654 AM CST Fri Dec 19 2025   
      
   Valid 191300Z - 201200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE   
   MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST STATES...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated damaging winds may accompany convection across the   
   Mid-Atlantic/Northeast today.   
      
   ...North Carolina and Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States...   
   A prominent upper-level trough centered over the Great Lakes/Ohio   
   Valley will continue to take on a negative tilt as it quickly   
   transitions east-northeastward toward New England the Canadian   
   Maritimes tonight. A very strong deep-layer wind field (80-110 kt at   
   500 mb) is attendant to this trough, with these strong winds aloft   
   partially overlapping a modestly moist/minimally unstable warm   
   sector along the I-95 corridor/East Coast ahead of an   
   eastward-advancing cold front. A strongly forced semi-organized   
   low-topped convective line, with little or no lightning flashes, is   
   ongoing around sunrise across northeast North Carolina and southeast   
   Virginia, and this may further develop north-northeastward across   
   additional portions of the Mid-Atlantic region this morning. Even   
   with minimal buoyancy, some stronger/locally severe wind gusts could   
   occur this morning, and possibly through early afternoon across   
   parts of the near-coastal Northeast.   
      
   ..Guyer/Marsh.. 12/19/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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