TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167633.weather@1:2320/105 2da788d7   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 150816   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 150815   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0215 AM CST Mon Dec 15 2025   
      
   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few isolated thunderstorms are possible in the Texas Coastal Plain   
   Wednesday morning. Scattered thunderstorms are possible early   
   Thursday morning from the Ozarks to the Lower Ohio River Valley.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   A strong mid-level jet streak and associated shortwave trough over   
   the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday morning will move quickly across   
   the Rockies and amplify as it enters the Plains late Wednesday into   
   early Thursday morning. A very strong surface low, associated with   
   this fast-moving trough, will move from British Columbia Wednesday   
   morning to the Upper Midwest by early Thursday morning.   
      
   A few thunderstorms may persist early Wednesday within a region of   
   weak isentropic ascent across East Texas. However, as the low-level   
   jet veers/weakens, this threat is expected to wane. High pressure   
   will continue to dominate much of the daytime period across the   
   eastern CONUS which should limit any thunderstorm potential.   
   However, by Wednesday night, thunderstorm potential is expected to   
   increase from the Texas Coastal Plain to the Lower Ohio River   
   Valley. As the mid-level trough amplifies across the Plains, a   
   low-level jet will rapidly strengthen from East Texas to the Ozarks.   
   This will advect low-level moisture northward during the evening.   
   After 06Z, weak to potentially moderate elevated instability is   
   expected within a broad region of weak isentropic ascent from   
   Arkansas to southern Illinois. Effective shear (based on an elevated   
   parcel) is expected to remain very weak early Thursday morning as   
   the primary mid-level jet streak is not forecast to emerge over the   
   warm sector until later Thursday morning. Therefore, no severe   
   weather is anticipated on Day 3/Wednesday.   
      
   ..Bentley.. 12/15/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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