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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 39,385 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   13 Dec 25 16:05:51   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167587.weather@1:2320/105 2da5538c   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 131605   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 131604   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1004 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025   
      
   Valid 131630Z - 141200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.   
      
   ...Southeast TX/Southwest LA...   
   Morning satellite loops confirm northward transport of low-level   
   moisture into parts of the southern Plains and lower MS Valley.   
   This trend will continue this afternoon and evening as a shallow   
   surface cold front sags southward through the region.  Model   
   guidance suggests that weak but sufficient instability will develop   
   after dark from southeast TX into southwest LA to result in a few   
   pre-frontal thunderstorms.  Shear is weak, and limited CAPE will   
   preclude organized severe storms.  However, small hail is possible   
   in the strongest cores tonight.   
      
   ...FL...   
   A low-latitude disturbance crossing the Gulf and a northward   
   moisture flux ahead of it will contribute to thunderstorm potential   
   across the Florida Keys/Florida Straits today, and also across the   
   southern Florida Peninsula tonight. Severe thunderstorms are   
   unlikely with these scenarios.   
      
   ..Hart/Dean.. 12/13/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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