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   MSGID: 167573.weather@1:2320/105 2da4c0a1   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 130539   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 130537   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1137 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025   
      
   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated weak thunderstorm activity is possible across portions of   
   the Texas and Louisiana coasts, as well as South Florida and the   
   Keys this afternoon into Saturday night.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
      
   Strong midlevel height falls will spread across the Ohio   
   Valley/Middle Atlantic during the day1 period as a pronounced upper   
   trough digs across the Great Lakes/OH Valley. This evolution   
   warrants surface pressures rising across the interior CONUS east of   
   the Rockies, ultimately forcing a cold front toward the upper TX/LA   
   Coast by the end of the period. Prior to the frontal passage, weak   
   low-level warm advection will aid some convective threat due in part   
   to the influence of a low-amplitude short-wave trough that will   
   eject across the western Gulf basin. Otherwise, lightning may   
   accompany frontal convection as the wind shift surges into this   
   region.  In addition to isolated thunderstorms across the upper   
   TX/LA Coasts, moisture/buoyancy is expected to gradually advance   
   north across the FL Keys into the southern FL Peninsula. Weak   
   disturbance should encourage isolated thunderstorm development   
   across this region as well. In both scenarios, severe threat appears   
   negligible.   
      
   ..Darrow/Wendt.. 12/13/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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