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   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0114 AM CST Sun Dec 07 2025   
      
   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z   
      
   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.   
   Tuesday through Tuesday night.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Models continue to indicate little substantive change to the   
   large-scale mid/upper flow impacting the U.S. through this period.   
   Broad ridging is likely to persist across the eastern mid-latitude   
   Pacific into the U.S. Intermountain West and Rockies, with   
   downstream troughing east of the Rockies through the Atlantic   
   Seaboard and western Atlantic.  The troughing is likely to be   
   reinforced by another significant short wave perturbation, digging   
   within northwesterly flow to the lee of the crest of the ridge.   
      
   It appears that this will be accompanied by a rapidly migrating   
   cyclone across the northern Great Plains through much of the upper   
   Great Lakes region by late tonight.  In the wake of this feature,   
   models indicate an increasingly significant intrusion of cold air   
   will begin to surge southward into parts of the northern Great   
   Plains and upper Mississippi Valley, preceded by strengthening flow   
   veering to an increasing westerly component as far south as the Gulf   
   coast vicinity.   
      
   Even as the Gulf boundary layer begins to modify to the north of a   
   stalling and weakening front, south of the Florida Peninsula through   
   the southern Gulf Basin, appreciable inland moisture is unlikely   
   through this period and beyond.   
      
   ..Kerr.. 12/07/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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