TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167392.weather@1:2320/105 2d9ce78b   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS02 KWNS 070502   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 070500   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1100 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025   
      
   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Aside from the possibility of a couple weak thunderstorms near and,   
   perhaps, inland of southern Florida coastal areas, the risk for   
   thunderstorms will remain negligible across much of the U.S. Monday   
   through Monday night.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   The center of a fairly prominent, but relatively compact mid-level   
   vortex is likely to continue redeveloping east-southeast of southern   
   Hudson/James Bay, into and across the Newfoundland and Labrador   
   vicinity during this period.  However, models indicate that   
   large-scale mid-level troughing will be maintained east of the   
   Rockies through the western Atlantic, downstream of persistent broad   
   ridging across the eastern mid-latitude Pacific into U.S   
   Intermountain West.   
      
   One notable short wave perturbation embedded within the troughing is   
   forecast to accelerate east-northeast of the southern Appalachians,   
   across and offshore of the southern Mid Atlantic, but this may   
   contribute to suppression of subtropical ridging as far south as the   
   Caribbean and Bahamas.  In lower levels, an associated reinforcing   
   intrusion of cooler/drier air appears likely to contribute to the   
   southward advancement of the primary cold front through much of the   
   remainder of the Florida Peninsula and Gulf Basin.   
      
   At the same time, it appears that another notable short wave   
   perturbation, progressing through the crest of upstream ridge, will   
   provide support for surface cyclogenesis to the lee of the Canadian   
   and northern U.S. Rockies by late Monday night.  This likely will be   
   accompanied by downslope aided warming across much of the high   
   plains, but dry, stable conditions will be maintained there and   
   across much of the remainder of the U.S.   
      
   ...Southern Florida/Keys...   
   Latest model output remains varied concerning potential for   
   thunderstorm development along/ahead of the southward advancing   
   front.  Mid/upper support appears weak, with potential for   
   appreciable destabilization, particularly inland of coastal areas,   
   limited as well.   
      
   ..Kerr.. 12/07/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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