TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167391.weather@1:2320/105 2d9cd7d1   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 070543   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 070541   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1141 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025   
      
   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FL   
   PENINSULA...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated damaging winds and a brief tornado or two are possible,   
   mainly across central Florida during the late afternoon and evening.   
      
   ...FL Peninsula...   
   Abundant convective development is expected later this morning   
   across the north-central to northeast Gulf along a largely   
   west/east-oriented quasi-stationary front. Downstream   
   cloudiness/rain along/north of the front will support pronounced   
   differential boundary-layer heating across it, from central to north   
   FL. With most guidance indicating potential for an MCV to evolve   
   from the morning convection, within the broadly cyclonic mid-level   
   flow regime across the Southeast, it is plausible that convection   
   may strengthen along the baroclinic zone towards peak heating. Weak   
   mid-level lapse rates will remain a key limiting factor to   
   convective intensity. But adequate deep-layer shear will exist for   
   transient mid-level rotation. With a warm boundary layer anticipated   
   across central to south FL, a few strong gusts capable of localized   
   damaging winds are possible. While the 00Z NAM appears to be an   
   aggressive outlier with stronger low-level mass response, expected   
   modest low-level SRH may be sufficient for a brief tornado or two.   
      
   ..Grams/Thornton.. 12/07/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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