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   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0144 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025   
      
   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across much of the   
   U.S. Sunday through Sunday night.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Models indicate that mid/upper ridging may rebuild offshore of the   
   British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast, while being maintained   
   across and inland of coastal areas through this period.  Downstream   
   flow may not change appreciably on the larger-scale, but one broad   
   embedded cyclonic circulation may redevelop southeast of the   
   Hudson/James Bay vicinity through central Quebec, while a   
   consolidating perturbation within another stream digs across the   
   central/southern Great Plains toward the Southeast.   
      
   The latter feature is forecast to be accompanied by a reinforcing   
   cold intrusion across the Gulf coast into northwest Gulf Basin by   
   late Sunday night.  Downstream, a weak low may begin to develop   
   along the initially stalled/slow moving frontal zone, east of the   
   Florida Peninsula.   
      
   ...Florida...   
   Forecast soundings indicate that relatively warm layers aloft will   
   continue to hinder potential for deep convective development over   
   the interior central and southern peninsula Sunday through Sunday   
   night.  In general, guidance suggests that better coupling of   
   mid/upper forcing for ascent and higher boundary-layer moisture   
   content may be confined to areas along/ahead of the front across the   
   northeastern into central Gulf Basin and offshore western Atlantic.   
      
   ..Kerr.. 12/05/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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