TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167327.weather@1:2320/105 2d99a95f   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 041949   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 041947   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0147 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025   
      
   Valid 042000Z - 051200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe storms are not forecast in the U.S. today or tonight.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   No appreciable change was made to the previously issued outlook.   
      
   ..Smith.. 12/04/2025   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST Thu Dec 04 2025/   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   16 UTC surface observations along the Gulf Coast show a stalling   
   frontal boundary draped from the MS Delta region to just off the TX   
   Gulf Coast. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are ongoing along   
   and north of this boundary as modest isentropic ascent within the   
   925-850 mb layer continues ahead of a low-amplitude upper wave   
   currently over the central Plains. The combination of diabatic   
   cooling and building surface high pressure to the north of the   
   boundary should keep the frontal boundary, and any surface-based   
   buoyancy, offshore through much of the forecast period. While   
   elevated thunderstorms will likely continue across the central Gulf   
   Coast region through the day and into tonight, buoyancy profiles   
   will remain too limited to support robust convection. Sporadic   
   lightning strikes are noted across the Texarkana region, but latest   
   forecast soundings suggest that EL levels should remain near or   
   below -20 C, which limits confidence in lightning production beyond   
   the next couple of hours.   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 201/0 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1   
   SEEN-BY: 221/6 360 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 300 307   
   SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364   
   SEEN-BY: 341/66 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426