TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167298.weather@1:2320/105 2d984bf9   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 031858   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 031857   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1257 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025   
      
   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe storms are not forecast on Friday or Friday night.   
      
   ...FL Panhandle vicinity...   
   Isolated to scattered elevated convection should be ongoing at 12Z   
   Friday along the western and central Gulf Coast, within a broad   
   swath of low-level isentropic ascent atop a slow-moving offshore   
   surface front. This will spread east during the day across parts of   
   the Southeast. Some of the non-CAM guidance suggest the front may   
   penetrate inland in a portion of the FL Panhandle attendant to a   
   decaying weak surface low. With the synoptic pattern favoring a   
   broad/low-amplitude trough into the south-central states,   
   large-scale ascent and mid-level lapse rates should remain weak,   
   compounding uncertainty in how much surface-based destabilization   
   can occur with any afternoon convection. The bulk of ML guidance   
   outside of the SPC-CSU indicates less than 5 percent severe probs as   
   well. As such, will defer to later outlooks for a potential   
   mesoscale level 1-MRGL risk.   
      
   ..Grams.. 12/03/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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