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   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1151 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025   
      
   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Thunderstorms will be possible this evening into tonight across the   
   western Gulf Coast states. Severe storms are not expected.   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   At mid-levels today, a trough will dig south-southeastward into the   
   Desert Southwest, as flow becomes west-southwesterly across much of   
   the southern U.S. In response, moisture advection will take place   
   across the western Gulf Coast states. By mid to late evening,   
   surface dewpoints are expected to reach the middle to upper 60s F   
   along parts of the Texas Coast. This will result in an increase in   
   instability supporting isolated to scattered thunderstorm   
   development. As warm advection continues into the overnight period,   
   a gradual increase in convective coverage should occur, mainly   
   offshore where instability and low-level flow are forecast to be   
   stronger. Due to this, some cell organization could occur just   
   offshore from the upper Texas Coast after midnight with a few   
   rotating storms possible. Over land, instability is forecast to   
   remain relatively weak, which is expected to limit the severe   
   potential through daybreak on Thursday.   
      
   ..Broyles/Weinman.. 12/03/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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