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   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0102 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025   
      
   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible on Thursday across   
   coastal portions of the western and central Gulf Coast vicinity.   
   Severe potential appears low at this time.   
      
   ...Western and Center Gulf Coast vicinity...   
      
   Broad upper troughing will envelop much of the CONUS on Thursday.   
   Strong surface high pressure will be in place over the Rockies/Great   
   Basin, as well as across the Midwest. Meanwhile, a cold front will   
   be draped along/just offshore the TX coast, while a warm front   
   extends eastward near the LA coast, then southeast across the   
   eastern Gulf.   
      
   As an upper shortwave trough moves across the Plains, a weak coastal   
   low will develop along the Upper TX Coast/LA coast late in the   
   period. This may allow richer Gulf moisture to move into far   
   southeast LA and coastal MS/AL in the 09-12z time period. Midlevel   
   warm advection and increasing ascent atop a cool boundary layer will   
   support elevated thunderstorm activity along portions of the   
   western/central Gulf coast through the period. While some   
   surface-based instability could move inland very late in the period,   
   this is uncertain and may remain over immediate coastal areas of   
   southeast LA. Overall, severe potential is expected to remain   
   limited given Gulf moisture will mostly remain offshore through the   
   period, though trends will be monitored for some increasing   
   potential late in the Day 3 (early Friday morning) time frame.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 12/02/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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