TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167245.weather@1:2320/105 2d96553f   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 020714   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 020714=20   
   FLZ000-021115-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 2244   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0114 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025   
      
   Areas affected...the coastal Florida Panhandle   
      
   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20   
      
   Valid 020714Z - 021115Z   
      
   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent   
      
   SUMMARY...Mini-supercells may eventually move ashore, affecting   
   primarily coastal counties of the Florida Panhandle. A brief tornado   
   cannot be ruled out later tonight.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Radar shows multiple small supercells over the   
   northeastern Gulf of America, ahead of a cold front and along a warm   
   front. The warm front is currently offshore as can be seen with   
   backed surface winds over land and temperatures in the 60s F.=20   
      
   Instability is currently weak, with minimal lightning detected even   
   with the offshore activity. Conditionally, weak tornadoes may still   
   occur assuming the warm front moves ashore.   
      
   Recent hourly pressure falls over 1 mb indicate good column warming   
   and likely erosion of the cooler air mass. Over the next few hours,   
   surface winds will gradually veer, with temperatures likely jumping   
   along the coast. Low-level shear will remain quite strong, again   
   with instability being the limiting factor. However, any supercells   
   that move onshore coincident with the warm front may result in   
   localized brief tornado risk over a limited amount of inland area.   
      
   ..Jewell/Mosier.. 12/02/2025   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!6iuzW7hlJQK4LAILDIuJrRd5L001Z0NjGmNmSIi8Tzu2Je82_oTsPl7QP19DvdoEsXs_V3wdw=   
   f8Pke4ngwN8G8Eejxk$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...   
      
   LAT...LON   30388653 30608620 30568581 30438497 30408437 30348416   
               29948418 29528501 29598536 29938555 30158590 30248608   
               30388653=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 201/0 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1   
   SEEN-BY: 221/6 360 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 300 307   
   SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364   
   SEEN-BY: 341/66 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426