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   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1258 AM CST Mon Dec 01 2025   
      
   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF   
   THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Scattered thunderstorms are expected through Tuesday across the   
   Southeast to the Atlantic Coastline. A damaging gust or brief   
   tornado are possible Tuesday morning along the Florida Panhandle.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   A mid-level trough will impinge on the Atlantic Coastline, with a   
   surface low poised to rapidly translate northeast from the eastern   
   Gulf Coast toward the New England coast tomorrow (Tuesday). During   
   the first half of the period, low-level warm-air advection ahead of   
   and to the north of the surface low will support primarily elevated   
   buoyancy overspreading the Southeast and Carolina coastlines.   
   Widespread rainfall with embedded thunderstorms are likely through   
   00Z Wednesday.   
      
   ...FL Panhandle...   
   During the first few hours of the period (e.g. 12-16Z Tuesday   
   morning), a few strong to isolated severe thunderstorms (remnant   
   from the Day 1 period) may be ongoing along the FL Panhandle region.   
   Large, curved, and elongated hodographs may precede the ongoing   
   storms amid scant surface-based buoyancy within the warm-air   
   advection regime. Over 500 J/kg MLCAPE may overlap with 200-400   
   m2/s2 0-3 km SRH along the western fringes of a departing low-level   
   jet, supporting a risk for a damaging gust or perhaps a brief   
   tornado.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 12/01/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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