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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 301233   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 301231   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0631 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025   
      
   Valid 301300Z - 011200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few thunderstorms are possible along the Gulf Coast, southern   
   Florida, and central Utah. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   A pair of shortwave troughs, one currently moving through the Upper   
   Great Lakes region and the other moving into the Upper Midwest, will   
   pivot eastward/northeastward today, with the second shortwave ending   
   the period extended from eastern Quebec through New England. Farther   
   west, another shortwave trough will drop southeastward through the   
   Great Basin. Evolution of these waves will promote continued upper   
   troughing across the western and central CONUS while the eastern   
   CONUS trends more zonal.   
      
   At the surface, a low associated with the Upper Great Lakes   
   shortwave is currently centered over Lower MI. An extensive cold   
   front extends southward from this low into northern KY before   
   shifting more southwestward and continuing to another surface low   
   just off the South TX Coast. The primary surface low is forecast to   
   progress northeastward across southeastern Ontario and eastern   
   Quebec while occluding throughout the day. As it does, northern and   
   central portions of the cold front will make steady   
   eastward/southeastward progress throughout the day, likely extending   
   from southern New England through the Carolina Piedmont by 00Z.   
   Southern portion of the front will also move eastward, but more   
   slowly, as a weak frontal low moves eastward along the immediate   
   central Gulf Coast.   
      
   Dry and stable conditions associated with a cold continental airmass   
   will preclude thunderstorms across the majority of the CONUS. A few   
   isolated thunderstorms are possible across the immediate   
   western/central Gulf Coast, where moderate low-level moisture   
   remains in place ahead of the cold front and/or surface low. A few   
   isolated thunderstorms are also possible across the southern/eastern   
   FL Peninsula amid moderate low-level moisture and weakly convergent   
   low-level easterly flow. Lastly, a few flashes could occur within   
   any deeper convection over central UT as the Great Basin shortwave   
   trough progresses across the region.   
      
   ..Mosier/Dean.. 11/30/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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