TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167181.weather@1:2320/105 2d93acc9   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS02 KWNS 300652   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 300651   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1251 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025   
      
   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Scattered thunderstorms will develop along the Gulf Coast tomorrow   
   (Monday) into early Tuesday morning. Severe thunderstorms are not   
   currently expected.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   A mid-level trough will intensify while traversing the central CONUS   
   tomorrow (Monday), resulting in surface low development along the   
   Gulf Coast late in the period. As this occurs, a broad warm-air   
   advection regime will become established across the Southeast,   
   resulting in mainly elevated buoyancy (e.g. a few hundred J/kg   
   MUCAPE) ushering inland. A broad shield of rain with embedded   
   thunderstorms should become established across the Sabine River   
   Valley into MS by 00Z, progressing eastward toward the eastern Gulf   
   Coast by 12Z Tuesday morning. Most guidance indicates the warm front   
   and associated surface-based buoyancy remaining just offshore, along   
   with the anticipated surface low. However, some guidance (e.g. the   
   00Z NAM) hints at some surface based buoyancy reaching the shoreline   
   in the 00-12Z period. Should this occur, a sparse severe threat   
   cannot be ruled out. However, given that the guidance consensus   
   strays from this scenario, severe probabilities have not been   
   introduced at this time.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 11/30/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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