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   ACUS01 KWNS 300546   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 300545   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1145 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025   
      
   Valid 301200Z - 011200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few thunderstorms are possible along the Gulf Coast and southern   
   Florida. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   Severe storm potential is low over the CONUS today. A broad upper   
   trough over the Midwest will shift eastward with shortwave ridging   
   in its wake. A second shortwave trough will intensify over the   
   southern Rockies as flow aloft becomes more zonal over the eastern   
   half of the US. At the surface, low pressure over the Great Lakes   
   will quickly lift northward into Canada as a strong cold front   
   sweeps south toward the US Gulf/Atlantic Coasts. High pressure and   
   an arctic air mass behind the front will keep much of the US hostile   
   to thunderstorm development.   
      
   The only exception will be where modest instability can develop near   
   the southeastern FL Peninsula, eastern Atlantic waters and the   
   immediate Gulf Coast ahead of the cold front. Isolated thunderstorms   
   that develop will be aided by modest mid-level southwesterly flow   
   atop the surface frontal zone. These storms should move quickly   
   offshore before midday as the front continues surging south.   
   Residual buoyancy inland will become increasingly removed with time   
   as high pressure and resulting offshore flow intensifies. Given the   
   very weak instability and short residence time of onshore   
   convection, severe weather is not expected.   
      
   ..Lyons/Weinman.. 11/30/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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