TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167150.weather@1:2320/105 2d9280a8   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS48 KWNS 290932   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 290930   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0330 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025   
      
   Valid 021200Z - 071200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   A broad mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic while another   
   mid-level trough gradually progresses across the CONUS this upcoming   
   week into next weekend. A surface low will rapidly track from the   
   southeast Gulf Coast, northeastward along the Eastern Seaboard Day   
   4/Tuesday, supporting thunderstorm development along the Southeast   
   Coast and the FL Peninsula. Thereafter, surface high pressure and   
   associated static stability should limit thunderstorm development   
   over most locales until late in the week into the weekend. By this   
   point, moisture return across the western Gulf Coast region may   
   foster enough buoyancy to support thunderstorm potential. It is   
   plausible that strong to perhaps isolated severe thunderstorms may   
   develop over the TX Coastal Plain in the Days 6-7 (Thursday-Friday)   
   time frame if the moisture can become rich/deep enough to support   
   greater buoyancy. However, the lack in medium-range guidance   
   agreement lends too little confidence in this scenario for the   
   introduction of severe probabilities this far in advance.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 11/29/2025   
      
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