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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 38,947 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2237   
   29 Nov 25 09:19:28   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167149.weather@1:2320/105 2d927d9a   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 290919   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 290918=20   
   ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-291315-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 2237   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0318 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025   
      
   Areas affected...Northeast/east-central MO...southeast IA...western   
   IL   
      
   Concerning...Heavy snow=20   
      
   Valid 290918Z - 291315Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Moderate to locally heavy snow rates are possible early   
   this morning.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A large precipitation shield is spreading across parts   
   of MO/IA and western IL early this morning, within the warm conveyor   
   region of a surface cyclone centered over southwest KS. Strong, deep   
   ascent being driven by both low-level warm advection and favorable   
   upper-level difluence will maintain widespread precipitation through   
   the early-morning hours.=20   
      
   Observations indicate that the surface freezing line (currently   
   draped from near/north of St. Louis into north-central/northwest MO)   
   generally delineates the transition between rain/mixed precipitation   
   and snow. Heavy snow has recently been observed at Kirksville (KIRK)   
   and Hannibal (KHAE) in northeast MO, with moderate snow observations   
   extending into southeast IA and western IL. Snow rates of near to   
   locally above 1 inch per hour may persist across these areas through   
   the pre-dawn hours.=20   
      
   Farther south into east-central MO, surface temperatures remain   
   near/above freezing with residual low-level dryness, but evaporative   
   cooling of the column should eventually allow for development of   
   moderate to locally heavy wet snow for a period of time this   
   morning. Precipitation intensity may support snow rates of   
   near/above 1 inch/hour and notable visibility reductions, though the   
   marginal surface temperatures could limit actual accumulation rates   
   to some extent. Later this morning (generally after sunrise), parts   
   of east-central MO may transition to mostly rain or mixed   
   precipitation, in response to persistent low-level warm advection.   
      
   ..Dean.. 11/29/2025   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!60zPwaWsVvf1016fE3WYpuryBXHDSTi6_4Z4pHHUM-gPX9MaxCv4f0H-KfgiZFVFnvaBSs5MJ=   
   PvFGvJ4DSYtxQkstTU$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...   
      
   LAT...LON   38398984 38669113 39549204 40209267 41269249 41269153   
               40589027 39898960 39108933 38398984=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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