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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 38,939 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   29 Nov 25 00:50:57   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167141.weather@1:2320/105 2d92065f   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 290050   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 290049   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0649 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025   
      
   Valid 290100Z - 291200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not anticipated tonight.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   Evening water-vapor imagery shows a weak shortwave trough over the   
   Plains moving eastward ahead of a second, more intense, upper trough   
   over the central and northern Rockies. As the primary trough   
   intensifies to the west, the increases in west/southwesterly   
   midlevel flow will help deep a surface low moving from eastern   
   CO/western KS into OK tonight. The southerly winds will allow modest   
   northward moisture return tonight across parts of the southern   
   Plains and Ozarks.   
      
   As the surface low strengthens with the approach of the western   
   trough this evening and overnight, low-level warm advection should   
   also intensify. Strong isentropic ascent atop the cool and   
   relatively dry boundary-layer over the southern Plains should   
   support increasing coverage of showers and elevated thunderstorms   
   already ongoing from central and western North TX into OK and   
   eventually the lower MO Valley/Ozarks. With meager buoyancy aloft   
   (MUCAPE 500 J/kg or less) the potential for stronger updrafts   
   appears quite limited despite increasingly robust deep-layer shear   
   profiles. While a stronger storm or two with the potential for small   
   hail cannot be completely ruled out, severe potential remains very   
   low.   
      
   ..Lyons.. 11/29/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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