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   ACUS01 KWNS 281612   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 281611   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1011 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025   
      
   Valid 281630Z - 291200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   No severe thunderstorms are anticipated today/tonight.   
      
   ...Southern Plains vicinity...   
      
   A midlevel shortwave impulse will eject across the southern Rockies   
   into the southern Plains today ahead of a stronger upper trough   
   digging southeast from the northern Rockies into much of the Great   
   Plains tonight. Resulting increases in west/southwesterly midlevel   
   flow will overspread weak northward moisture return across TX as a   
   surface low develops/modestly deepens over KS/OK.   
      
   Showers will increase today into tonight from central TX, north and   
   east across portions of the Plains into the Ozarks. Isolated   
   thunderstorms will be possible this evening and tonight as midlevel   
   temperatures cool and lapse rates modestly steepen. However, meager   
   boundary layer moisture will limit instability, with forecast   
   soundings generally indicating 500 J/kg or less MUCAPE. Severe   
   potential appears low given expected modest updrafts   
   intensity/longevity.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 11/28/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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