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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS01 KWNS 281227   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 281225   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0625 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025   
      
   Valid 281300Z - 291200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   No severe thunderstorms are anticipated today.   
      
   ...Southern Plains...   
   Morning water vapor imagery shows the upper ridge that has dominated   
   the weather over the southwest states is rapidly breaking down, as a   
   strong upper trough over OR approaches the Rockies.  Large-scale   
   height falls and increasing low-level warm/moist advection will   
   result in marginal instability over TX and the development of   
   scattered thunderstorms later today.   
      
   Convection has already begun to form over the Big Bend region of TX   
   this morning.  Thunderstorms will further develop over west TX   
   through early afternoon, then expand eastward into parts of OK and   
   central TX this evening.  Relatively steep mid-level lapse rates   
   will be present over the central/southern Plains, but limited   
   moisture return will generally keep CAPE values below 1000 J/kg and   
   limit updraft strength/severe potential.  Nevertheless, the   
   strongest storms this evening could produce small hail.   
      
   ..Hart/Dean.. 11/28/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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