TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167106.weather@1:2320/105 2d906c29   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 271941   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 271939   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0139 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025   
      
   Valid 272000Z - 281200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.   
      
   ...20z Update...   
   Only minor adjustments were made to the thunder line to account for   
   ongoing trends across the Florida peninsula. Otherwise, no   
   additional changes are needed. See previous discussion for more   
   information.   
      
   ..Thornton.. 11/27/2025   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025/   
      
   ...Synopsis and Discussion...   
   A large-scale upper trough encompassing much of the central/eastern   
   CONUS will develop slowly eastward through the period. Isolated   
   thunderstorm potential today will generally remain limited to parts   
   of south FL and the Keys along/ahead of a southward-moving cold   
   front. 11/12Z soundings from XMR/TBW/KEY show southwesterly winds   
   strengthening with height at mid/upper levels. While sufficient   
   deep-layer shear may exist to support a stronger thunderstorm or two   
   this afternoon, especially along the Atlantic Coast in south FL, the   
   presence of poor mid-level lapse rates and weak low-level winds   
   should hinder the risk for organized severe thunderstorms over land.   
   Isolated lightning flashes may also occur with snow bands occurring   
   in western NY off of Lake Ontario.   
      
   $$   
      
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