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   ACUS48 KWNS 270954   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 270953   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0353 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025   
      
   Valid 301200Z - 051200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   A progressive upper pattern will overspread the CONUS next week,   
   ushering in multiple rounds of surface high pressure across the   
   western, northern, and eastern CONUS. Thunderstorm development   
   should thus be limited over much of the U.S. through the extended   
   forecast period. One exception may be portions of the Gulf Coast   
   early next week. By around Day 6 (Tuesday), medium-range guidance   
   depicts a pronounced mid-level trough amplifying over the Middle MS   
   Valley, supporting surface low development along the southeast Gulf   
   Coast. Seasonal low-level moisture may advect a few hundred miles   
   inland from the coast, ahead of the surface low. If this occurs,   
   isolated severe thunderstorms may develop along the warm front.   
   However, timing and placement of the surface low differs too much   
   among medium range guidance for the introduction of severe   
   probabilities this far in advance.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 11/27/2025   
      
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