TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167085.weather@1:2320/105 2d8fb8a6   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS02 KWNS 270655   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 270654   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1254 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025   
      
   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few thunderstorms are possible over the southern Plains tomorrow   
   (Friday) night into early Saturday morning. Severe thunderstorms are   
   not currently expected.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   Surface high pressure across much of the Interior West, as well as   
   the northern and eastern CONUS, will limit thunderstorm potential in   
   these regions due to static stability. However, the rapid approach   
   of a mid-level trough will encourage lee cyclogenesis over the   
   southern Plains tomorrow (Friday). As the surface low materializes   
   over western OK during the day, modest low-level moisture will   
   advect northward with the aid of a 40-50 kt southerly low-level jet.   
   7-8 C/km mid-level lapse rates are expected to overspread the   
   aforementioned low-level warm-air advection, promoting   
   destabilization Friday night/early Saturday morning atop a stable   
   boundary layer. This elevated buoyancy, characterized by 500-1000   
   J/kg thin MUCAPE constrained above 700 mb, will support nocturnal   
   thunderstorm development over portions of the southern Plains, when   
   the primary upper support with the approaching mid-level trough   
   arrives. Given strong vertical wind shear (e.g. elongated   
   hodographs), a few of the stronger storms may produce hail. However,   
   given limited elevated MUCAPE, the confidence in the coverage of   
   more than sparse severe hail is too low for the introduction of   
   severe probabilities at this time.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 11/27/2025   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 201/0 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1   
   SEEN-BY: 221/6 360 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 206 300 307 317   
   SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364   
   SEEN-BY: 341/66 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426