TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167077.weather@1:2320/105 2d8f1980   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 261936   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 261935   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0135 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025   
      
   Valid 262000Z - 271200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe storms are not forecast through tonight.   
      
   ...20z Update...   
   No changes are needed to the current D1 Convective Outlook. See   
   previous discussion below for more information.   
      
   ..Thornton.. 11/26/2025   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1024 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025/   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   A deep cyclone (992 mb) will occlude today over the upper Great   
   Lakes while a cold front moves eastward/southeastward across the   
   Appalachians and off the Atlantic coast/into north FL by tonight.   
   The threat for thunderstorms appears negligible along/ahead of the   
   cold front from the Carolinas into the Tidewater given only weak   
   forcing for ascent and poor thermodynamic profiles based on regional   
   12z soundings.  Isolated thunderstorms will be possible along the   
   front across north FL/southeast GA greater low-level moisture and   
   buoyancy compared to areas farther northeast.  A separate area of   
   sea breeze convection/isolated thunderstorms will be possible this   
   afternoon across southeast FL, despite relatively warm temperatures   
   around 600 mb.   
      
   A band of showers/shallow convection along the cold front will   
   spread eastward today across WV and western PA/NY with gusty winds,   
   but lightning and convective wind damage appear unlikely.   
   Overnight, a lake effect convective band is expected across eastern   
   Lake Erie, where buoyancy depth could become marginally sufficient   
   for charge separation and isolated lightning flashes, though the   
   threat will remain on the margins for an outlook area.   
      
   Otherwise, a few thunderstorms will linger across deep south TX   
   through about midday until the cold front moves southward into   
   Mexico.   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 201/0 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1   
   SEEN-BY: 221/6 360 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 206 300 307 317   
   SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364   
   SEEN-BY: 341/66 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426