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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 252037   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 252036=20   
   ALZ000-MSZ000-252230-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 2232   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0236 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025   
      
   Areas affected...Southeastern Mississippi into central Alabama   
      
   Concerning...Tornado Watch 641...   
      
   Valid 252036Z - 252230Z   
      
   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 641 continues.   
      
   SUMMARY...A brief tornado or two and isolated wind damage remain   
   possible where surface heating/low-level lapse rates remain   
   strongest this afternoon. A weakening trend can be expected with   
   eventual loss of daytime heating.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Overall trends for storms within WW 641 this afternoon   
   have been for relatively brief intensification. A few cells have   
   continued to show weak low-level rotation, but this has also been   
   rather transient. Local VAD data suggest low-level shear has   
   weakened slightly, but is still sufficient for brief tornado   
   potential. This potential will be maximized where surface heating   
   has been greatest: southwest of Birmingham and parts of   
   southern/east-central Alabama. Storms should be able to maintain   
   some intensity for the next 2-3 hours. Beyond that point,   
   diminishing surface heating will lead to a weakening trend late this   
   afternoon.   
      
   ..Wendt.. 11/25/2025   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!5WSUFcxdy_iPenKkCjEWt0vzb-wD9WIMzm1BxRe1mK-6kuiNzwkNu7CNtcNaKc0PL5k1xdNtl=   
   ICfE7Go5bUh3iPdmIc$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...   
      
   LAT...LON   30918882 31128901 32308825 33068771 33398744 33508704   
               33418632 33308567 32798550 32608544 31668621 31188732   
               30918882=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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