TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167036.weather@1:2320/105 2d8d9b97   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 251628   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 251626   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1026 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025   
      
   Valid 251630Z - 261200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE   
   EVENING FROM EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated severe storms are possible from east central/southeast   
   Mississippi across central Alabama into northwest Georgia through   
   late evening.  A couple of tornadoes, isolated wind damage and   
   isolated large hail will all be possible.   
      
   ...MS/AL/GA through late evening...   
   A weakening midlevel trough will continue to eject   
   east-northeastward from the TN Valley to the Appalachians, in   
   advance of an amplifying trough from the northern Plains to the   
   upper MS Valley.  An associated/weak surface cold front will move   
   southeastward across LA/MS/AL, though the majority of the convective   
   threat today will be focused along a residual outflow boundary from   
   east central MS into central AL.  Low-level recovery into northeast   
   AL/northwest GA will depend on some clearing of clouds/rain, which   
   is uncertain.  Along and south of this boundary, that is being   
   loosely reinforced by ongoing convection, warming surface   
   temperatures into the 70s with mid-upper 60s dewpoints will   
   contribute to MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg.  Forcing for ascent will   
   linger into the afternoon and support additional thunderstorm   
   development, and there will be sufficient deep-layer vertical shear   
   for a couple of supercells.  Low-level shear/hodograph curvature   
   will be greatest along the residual outflow (per the BMX VWP)   
   through the afternoon, and then low-level flow will weaken by this   
   evening.  A couple of tornadoes and isolated wind damage/large hail   
   will be possible this afternoon into this evening.   
      
   ..Thompson/Wendt.. 11/25/2025   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 201/0 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1   
   SEEN-BY: 221/6 360 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 206 300 307 317   
   SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364   
   SEEN-BY: 341/66 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426