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   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS03 KWNS 250744   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 250743   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0143 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025   
      
   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible across southeast Florida on   
   Thursday. Severe storms are not expected.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   A large, expansive mid-level ridge will be present across the   
   eastern CONUS on Thursday. Offshore flow will be present across the   
   entire eastern half of the CONUS as high pressure builds into the   
   Plains. This high pressure will expand a dry, continental polar   
   airmass which should keep any thunderstorm chances limited.   
      
   A few isolated thunderstorms are possible ahead of the front across   
   Florida, but weak instability and modest lapse rates should keep any   
   severe storm threat limited.   
      
   Significant temperature differences between the Great Lakes and the   
   cold airmass aloft should result in some instability in the Great   
   Lakes. Deeper convection that can develop over the lakes with some   
   graupel could result in a few lightning flashes given an EL around   
   -20C. However, given the mostly below freezing temperature profile,   
   the likelihood of mixed-phase elements remains uncertain and a   
   general thunderstorm line has not been included at this time.   
      
   ..Bentley.. 11/25/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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