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   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS11 KWNS 250322   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 250322=20   
   MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-250515-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 2226   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0922 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025   
      
   Areas affected...Northern/Central Louisiana and western Mississippi   
      
   Concerning...Tornado Watch 639...   
      
   Valid 250322Z - 250515Z   
      
   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 639 continues.   
      
   SUMMARY...Severe threat is expected to spread across northern, and   
   portions of central, Louisiana over the next 1-3 hours. With time   
   this activity should spread into western Mississippi.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Low-amplitude short-wave trough is approaching the   
   lower Sabine River Valley, per latest water-vapor imagery. In   
   response to this feature, a squall line has matured over the last   
   few hours, extending from San Augustine County TX-Bienville Parish   
   LA. Along this corridor, several smaller bow-like structures have   
   developed and have accelerated a bit in response to strengthening   
   midlevel flow. This linear MCS is expected to advance across the   
   remainder of northern/central LA by 06-07z, likely spreading into   
   portions of western MS as the warm front gradually lifts north.   
   There is some concern this activity may remain organized as it exits   
   the northeastern corner of ww639. If air mass destabilization is   
   adequate downstream, a new watch may be warranted. Tornado risk   
   continues with any supercells, and with circulations along the   
   squall line. Localized damaging winds may also be noted ahead of any   
   fast-moving bow echoes.   
      
   ..Darrow.. 11/25/2025   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!6-287stsdnu1l1wJ4oK10WOCPUJdR9IU35FC5MFmFDO_UiYjLR2RpmMCbxVqKcktzh_4-fHjB=   
   NbbaXvbxnOZjv5C6sE$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...   
      
   LAT...LON   32409279 32899096 31999065 30959279 31099396 32409279=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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