TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 167012.weather@1:2320/105 2d8cbdc1   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 250041   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 250040   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0640 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025   
      
   Valid 250100Z - 251200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EAST   
   TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible through the overnight   
   hours, from far east Texas into central/southern Mississippi.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   As of 00:30 UTC, a broken line of thunderstorms continues from far   
   northeast LA southward towards the Houston metro area. While most   
   cells have remained sub-severe thus far, MRMS VIL and GOES IR   
   cloud-top temperature trends show a slight uptick in intensity over   
   the past hour. Additionally, a slight uptick in 0-2 km winds is   
   noted in warm-sector VWP observations, which is bolstering SRH and   
   improving the overall convective environment immediately downstream   
   of ongoing storms. This environment, characterized by STP values   
   between 1-2, is expected to persist through the overnight hours as   
   an upper wave and attendant (albeit weak) surface low translate   
   eastward towards the MS Valley. Some northward advancement of the   
   surface warm front is anticipated as low-level winds increase to   
   30-40 knots, which should maintain the potential for strong/severe   
   storms, including the potential for a few tornadoes,   
   east/northeastward into portions of west-central MS by 09-12 UTC. It   
   remains unclear exactly how far northward the surface-based warm   
   sector will expand through early morning, but even modest MLCAPE   
   (around 500 J/kg) may support a tornado threat given 0-1 km SRH on   
   the order of 250 m2/s2. For additional short-term details see MCD   
   #2225.   
      
   ..Moore.. 11/25/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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