TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 166975.weather@1:2320/105 2d8b702e   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 240059   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 240057   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0657 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025   
      
   Valid 240100Z - 241200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF   
   SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few severe storms capable of producing hail and locally strong   
   gusts remains possible tonight over parts of west to west-central   
   Texas.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Gradual cooling aloft will occur tonight as the upper trough moves   
   into the central and southern Plains, with 50-60 kt midlevel   
   southwesterlies maintaining deep-layer shear. At the surface, an   
   instability axis currently exists over southwest TX, where   
   temperatures are in the 60s with low 60s F dewpoints. While the 00Z   
   DRT sounding was capped, the MAF soundings shows significantly   
   cooler 700 mb temperatures. A few storms are ongoing over the South   
   Plains and into the Pecos Valley, with new echoes developing south   
   of FST. Given southeasterly 925 mb winds and continued cooling   
   aloft, additional development and possibly strengthening is expected   
   overnight.   
      
   Long hodographs will favor cells producing hail, and a few strong   
   wind gusts may also occur if bowing structures can develop. Overall,   
   instability will be mainly elevated, except over far southern areas.   
      
   ..Jewell.. 11/24/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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