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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS01 KWNS 231254   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 231253   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0653 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025   
      
   Valid 231300Z - 241200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND   
   EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX....   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few severe storms capable of large hail will be possible this   
   afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas.   
      
   ...West TX...   
   A large upper low currently over AZ will track northeastward into   
   NM, with a 70+ knot mid-level speed max approaching west TX by this   
   afternoon.  Ahead of this feature, southerly low-level winds will   
   help transport 50s dewpoints into much of west TX ahead of a diffuse   
   dryline.  Most CAM solutions suggest that scattered thunderstorms   
   will form along this dryline and track northeastward for a few   
   hours.  Given the strength of deep-layer shear, supercell structures   
   will be likely with a risk of a large hail and perhaps a tornado.   
   Storms should weaken by late evening as they move into a   
   progressively less unstable air mass and diurnal cooling ensues.   
      
   ..Hart/Broyles.. 11/23/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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