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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS48 KWNS 210952   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 210951   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0351 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025   
      
   Valid 241200Z - 291200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   As a mid-level trough deamplifies and moves from the central Plains   
   to the Midwest on D4/Monday, low-level moisture will advect   
   northward across eastern Texas, Louisiana, and southern Arkansas.   
   Some filtered heating should result in moderate instability by early   
   afternoon with moderate to strong shear. Morning thunderstorms will   
   likely have a stabilizing effect on the northern extent, but south   
   of this activity, a relatively more favorable zone for supercells   
   may exist on Monday afternoon. Relatively weak lapse rates are the   
   primary limiting factor to severe weather probabilities at this   
   time.   
      
   On D5/Tuesday, the surface front will stall across Louisiana and   
   Mississippi with weak to moderate instability to its south. Forcing   
   will remain somewhat nebulous, but given persistent moderate shear,   
   a few stronger storms will be possible from eastern Louisiana to   
   northern Alabama.   
      
   D6/Wednesday and beyond will feature a strong area of high pressure   
   across much of the eastern CONUS. This will push 60F dewpoints into   
   the Gulf/Atlantic and bring an end to any severe weather threat and   
   potentially any thunderstorm threat east of the Rockies for the   
   remainder of the week.   
      
   ..Bentley.. 11/21/2025   
      
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